Dun & Bradstreet U.S. Economic Health Tracker

A monthly report on business-related economic trends

January 2017 Report

Dun & Bradstreet's U.S. Economic Health Tracker is a monthly, multi-dimensional review of the health of the economy. Read and download the latest report for key insight on small business, jobs, and overall business performance. Come back regularly for new updates, published the Tuesday prior to the first Friday of each month.

Perspectives

This month, Dun & Bradstreet’s Tracker signaled an upturn in small business payment performance, which is encouraging given the U.S. economy is entering a period of comparatively tighter monetary policy. In addition, small business failures also seem to be moderating, signaling small businesses are becoming more stable. Meanwhile, company balance sheets continued to record slight deterioration from December 2015’s multi-year high but the current level remains close enough to the December reading to consider fundamentals strong and overall business risks low.

In summary, the January Tracker spreads some optimism for small businesses amidst uncertainties that accompany the conclusion of a federal election. While balance sheets remain near the strongest levels of the prior six years.

Methodology

The Small Business Health Index measures year-over-year small business performance through payment patterns and credit use. U.S. Jobs Health combines Small Business Health Index industry data with BLS figures to forecast monthly nonfarm payroll employment. The U.S. Overall Business Health Index provides a year-over-year weighted average of Dun & Bradstreet’s Viability Score, Delinquency Predictor and Total Loss Predictor. The index ranges from zero (with all businesses recording high levels of risk) to 100% (with all businesses recording low levels of risk). Report based on data available as of January 2, 2017.

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